Australian federal election 2025 live: Labor wins election; Anthony Albanese to be returned as Australia PM; Peter Dutton loses Dickson electorate – latest news and updates
Peter Dutton has lost his seat of Dickson
Nick Evershed
Guardian Australia is predicting, like everyone else, that Peter Dutton will lose his seat of Dickson to Labor’s Ali France.
France is now leading on primary vote alone, and has a 10.4% swing towards her on two-party-preferred count.
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\n It is unclear how this will translate into seats given the increase in the number of electorates that are three-way contests, rather than coming down to a fight between Labor and the Coalition. Pollster Shaun Ratcliff told Guardian Australia that the latest polls show the Coalition “going backwards” in a selection of key seats he has been tracking, after initial polls in February had the Coalition ahead.
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You can find more granular breakdowns of the polls, including by demography, on our tracking page.
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Somewhat further afield, Australians have already voted, Emily Wind reports:
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In the leadup to election day, Australians have cast their ballots in a number of remote locations and even from overseas – but none as far south as the 100-odd expeditioners currently working in Antarctica.
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Expeditioners working at Australia’s Antarctic and sub-Antarctic stations were able to cast their vote by telephone – a process typically reserved for voters who are blind or have low vision – with no physical ballot booth setup this year.
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Voting opened on 22 April, with expeditioners able to vote early or on election day. But, unlike others, they won’t be fined if they do not vote, according to the Australian Electoral Commission.
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The AEC says Australians travelling to work in Antarctica need to register as an Antarctic elector before leaving the country – with “Antarctic” including the Australian Antarctic Territory, the Territory of Heard Island and McDonald Islands, Macquarie Island, and a ship at sea in transit to or from Antarctica.
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Arrangements were put in place for expeditioners on the RSV Nuyina in case it arrived back later than scheduled (on 2 May, the day before the election).
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It is just past 8am here in Sydney, and the polling booths are officially open!
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Voters can lodge their ballots between 8am to 6pm today.
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For a refresher on when, where and how to vote, here is our 2025 voting guide with everything you need to know.
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Key events
Kevin Bonham
The earliest booths from Western Australia are starting to come in but this looks like being another election where the West arrives at the count when the party is already over. The early swings there are back and forth and don’t suggest a lot of seats will change hands there.
Nationwide Labor has already made many more gains than it has seats at risk and so the government is heading for a much increased majority.
There are a few messy seats of interest, one being Calwell where Labor’s Basem Abdo (replacing Maria Vamvakinou) has a double digit swing against the party on the primary vote and former Hume Mayor Carly Moore could potentially overtake the Liberal candidate and be a threat off (currently) 14.5% of the vote.
In Monash there’s a long way to go to see whether independent Deb Leonard can make the final two, in which case the Liberal primary for Mary Aldred is low.
Benita Kolovos
In Melbourne’s eastern suburbs, it is looking increasingly like Labor will hold onto Aston and win the seats of Deakin and Menzies off the Liberals.
In Deakin, which was one of the most marginal seats going into the race, Labor’s Matt Gregg is on track to nab the seat off Coalition housing spokesperson Michael Sukkar.
Over in Menzies, Labor’s Gabriel Ng is also on track to take the seat from Liberal MP Keith Wolahan.
Victorian Labor insiders are saying this is a reputation of the Coalition’s election commitment to cut funding to the Suburban Rail Loop – one of the state government’s flagship infrastructure projects, which runs through the three electorates.
They think the result should bring an end to any talk of leadership moves against Victorian premier, Jacinta Allan. But on that front, it is definitely too early to say.
Josh Butler
As Dutton finishes his concession speech, Labor supporters at Albanese’s election night event give him a salute – of sorts. Spontaneously in the crowd, hundreds of people raise their arms and wave goodbye at the TV screen as Dutton departs the stage, hugging his family.
Another cry of “Albo, Albo” goes up. We are getting word that Albanese has arrived at the event, to speak momentarily.
Liberal party will ‘rebuild’ says Dutton
Dutton ends his address, saying the party will rebuild and will stick to their values and beliefs.
He says the Labor party were able to define the party during the campaign.
Our Liberal families hurting across the country tonight, including in my electorate of Dickson and I want to say thank you very much to all of them.
I love this country and have fought hard for it, we have been defined by our opponents in this election which is not a true story of who we are but we will rebuild from here
Dutton is standing with his family on the stage, and hugs them as he ends his address.
The crowd cheers hard for him and clap as he walks through.
The media try to stop him and ask some question, but he continues straight past.
Dutton emotional thanking family
Moving to thank-yous, Dutton acknowledges the Nationals leader, David Littleproud, and deputy leader Sussan Ley. He also thanks his shadow treasurer, Angus Taylor, and “other senior members”.
It is not our night, as I point out, and there are good members and candidates who have lost their seats, their ambition, and I am sorry for that.
He thanks his team and staff, he says they’re “just amazing”. He also gives a shoutout to his media team.
Getting emotional, he then thanks his family. Someone from the crown shouts “I love you”.
I am blessed to have an amazing family. Bec and Harry and Tom. They have stood by me through thick and thin and I am grateful for the support and their love.
Dutton says Dickson had a “one-term curse”, but he held the seat for 24 years, and thanks his constituents.
Dutton says he accepts responsibility for the loss, and has spoken to Anthony Albanese to wish him congratulations.
Dutton says Albanese should be “very proud of what he’s achieved”.
Dutton says he’s also spoken to the Labor candidate Ali France who will be the new member for Dickson.
I congratulated the prime minister and wished he Jodie and Nathan all the very best and I said to the prime minister that his mother would be incredibly proud of his achievement tonight and he should be proud of what he has achieved.
Ali and I have been combatants for a number of elections but she was successful in Dickson tonight, and she will do a good job as a local member. She lost her son Henry in tragic circumstances, and no parent should ever go through that. Equally I said to Ali that her son Henry would be incredibly proud of her tonight and she will do a good job as the local member for Dickson and I wish her all the very best.
Peter Dutton concedes defeat as he addresses Liberal supporters
Peter Dutton is addressing Liberal crowds in Brisbane, to concede defeat.
Not only has the Coalition lost to Labor, Dutton looks set to lose his own seat.
Dutton tries to remain positive.
We worked hard every day over the course of the last three years to do our best for our amazing country. One of the great honours of being the leader of this party is that we have met people from every side and every corner, the length and breadth of this country, and there are many amazing stories, people have sacrificed and the people who are doing it hard at the moment, and I have always wanted, in public life, for our country and the best for every Australian.
Dutton says the highlight of his career has been as defence minister.
Nick Evershed
National swing to Labor is 4.7%, live votes tracker shows
The national swing to Labor is currently 4.7%, which is large in terms of national swings. However, in some seats the swing is massive – this chart shows the 20 biggest (excluding WA seats with early counts), from Braddon which has a 15.4% swing to Anne Urquhart, to Fadden in Queensland, which has a 8.75% swing to Labor.
You can see more swing figures in the swing-o-metre on our results page here.
Henry Belot
Bandt says many Labor MPs may win Greens seats on Liberal preferences
Greens leader Adam Bandt has congratulated Anthony Albanese and Labor on its campaign.
He says it’s too early to call many of the seats where the Greens vote appears to have gone backwards.
So far, he is not claiming victory in Wills or conceding defeat in Macnamara. There has also been no reference to Queensland seats that have been called as an ALP gain. But he has acknowledged the results may be bad:
We also know there are a number of seats that are too close to call and may be too close to call tonight.
One of the things that may happen (…) is some Labor MPs may get elected on Liberal preferences. We will watch with interest and see whether that happens in the coming hours.
Anthony Albanese on his way to Labor election function
Luca Ittimani
Anthony Albanese has left Kirribilli House and is driving to Labor’s election night party. The prime ministerial car, C1, has pulled out of the driveway past police officers, reporters and a handful of cheering neighbours with their dogs.
Albanese and his fiancee, Jodie Haydon, gave a wave to Channel Seven’s reporter on the scene as they began their journey south-west to Canterbury-Hurlstone Park RSL Club in the prime minister’s electorate of Grayndler.
Henry Belot
Adam Bandt says Labor win a repudiation of ‘Trump-style politics’
The Greens leader, Adam Bandt, is claiming credit for Labor beating Peter Dutton in Dickson.
One thing is clear, we have kept Dutton out. We said very clearly we do not want Trump-style politics coming to Australia and Peter Dutton lost his seat.
